French Election 2017 : Marine Le Pen Drastic Increase In Poll Lead,Is She Heading For Victory?

By Earnest Jones , The Goldwater · 02-23-2017
Photo credit: Marine Le Pen | Flickr

The far-right leader Marine Le Pen has drastically increased her lead in the first round of France’s presidential election, though she still has a wide margin in the runoff as shown by the BVA-Salesforce poll, which was recently published on Thursday. There has been an increase of 2.5 percentage points in the polls from what the National Front head was expected to garner the last time the polls were conducted on the 4th of February 2017, it turns out that she would win 27.5 percent of the vote in the upcoming first round which is expected to take place on the 23rd of April.

The Independent centrist Emmanuel Macron was seen coming in second in the first round with a 21 percent of the vote, this is just one percentage point as he’s followed by the conservative Francois Fillon who has a 19-percentage point, which is also down one percentage point.

There has been a drastic change from what was seen back in May during the runoff vote, Macron was seen beating Le Pen with a 61 percent to 39 percent while Fillon was seen winning the presidency with a 55 percent to 45 percent win.

Owing to the fact that the poll was conducted on Sunday and Monday, it obvious that it did not reflect the impact of the latest developments that have been taking place in the fast-paced campaign. As a result, Fillon has lost an early poll lead after the investigations on the public funds that he used to pay his family.

The recent polls failed to take into account the fact that there was a possibility of veteran centrist Francois Bayrou running. However, Bayrou made an announcement on Wednesday in which he said that he would not run and instead he would support Macron, something that analyst say should boost Macron. Le Pen’s chief of staff was also put under formal investigation as part of a probe that seeks to look into the alleged misuse of EU funds that are alleged to have been used to pay parliamentary assistants. However, at the end of the day, it’s without a doubt that Le Pen is making commendable progress in her pursuits and she’s managed to appeal to the women voters.

SOURCE : http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-france-election-poll-idUKKBN16208Q

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Very good article

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